This retrospective study used a consecutive cohort of 596 chest radiographs from four US hospitals between 2015 and 2021. Each radiograph included both frontal (anteroposterior or posteroanterior) and lateral projections. These radiographs were assessed for the presence of vertebral compression fracture in a consensus manner by up to three thoracic radiologists. The model then performed inference on the cases. A chart review was also performed for the presence of osteoporosis-related International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision diagnostic codes and medication use for the study period and an additional year of follow-up.

Results

The model successfully completed inference on 595 cases (99.8%); these cases included 272 positive cases and 323 negative cases. The model performed with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.955 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.939-0.968), sensitivity 89.3% (95% CI: 85.7%-92.7%) and specificity 89.2% (95% CI: 85.4%-92.3%). Out of the 236 true-positive cases (ie, correctly identified vertebral compression fractures by the model) with available chart information, only 86 (36.4%) had a diagnosis of vertebral compression fracture and 140 (59.3%) had a diagnosis of either osteoporosis or osteopenia; only 78 (33.1%) were receiving a disease-modifying medication for osteoporosis.

Conclusion

The model identified vertebral compression fracture accurately with a sensitivity 89.3% (95% CI: 85.7%-92.7%) and specificity of 89.2% (95% CI: 85.4%-92.3%). Its automated use could help identify patients who have undiagnosed osteoporosis and who may benefit from taking disease-modifying medications.